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The US Debt Limit: A Global Outlier

Gabriel Bello Obando by Gabriel Bello Obando
March 20, 2023
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Debt limits, also known as debt ceilings, are self-imposed restrictions on a government’s ability to borrow money to finance its legal obligations. Governments worldwide use debt limits as a fiscal policy tool to ensure their borrowing does not spiral out of control. However, the United States is an exceptional case regarding the debt limit.

The US debt limit has become a perennial political issue that often leads to brinkmanship and uncertainty. The government’s ability to borrow money to pay its existing legal obligations has been doubted several times in the past decade, leading to concerns over a possible default on US debt obligations. This has, in turn, led to worries about the global financial system’s stability.

In contrast, other countries have avoided such deadlocks through various means. Some countries had set their debt limits high enough that they are unlikely to be crossed, while others had scrapped the law altogether when it severely curtailed the government’s policy space.

Denmark is one example of a country that has set its debt limit high enough that it is unlikely to be reached. Denmark’s debt limit is 60% of GDP, significantly higher than its current debt level of around 35%. The country’s debt management agency manages its debt and ensures it remains within the limit.

Kenya has also set its debt limit high enough that it is unlikely to be breached. The country’s debt limit is 50% of GDP, while its current debt level is around 62%. Kenya’s debt management office manages the country’s debt and ensures it remains within the limit.

The European Union (EU) is another example of a region that has avoided political brinkmanship over its debt limit. The EU’s Stability and Growth Pact requires member states to keep their debt below 60% of GDP. However, the EU has been flexible in enforcing the pact, allowing countries to breach the limit during economic hardship.

Poland has taken a different approach to manage its debt limit. The country scrapped its debt limit law in 2014, arguing that it was too restrictive and curtailed the government’s ability to finance its policies. Since then, Poland has managed its debt without the constraints of a debt limit law.

Malaysia is another country that has managed to avoid political deadlock over its debt limit. The country’s debt limit is 55% of GDP, while its current debt level is around 52%. Malaysia’s debt management office manages the country’s debt and ensures it remains within the limit.

Namibia has taken a unique approach to manage its debt limit. The country’s constitution allows the government to exceed the debt limit if it is deemed necessary to finance development projects. However, the government is required to seek parliamentary approval for any such borrowing.

Pakistan is another country that has set its debt limit high enough that it is unlikely to be breached. The country’s debt limit is 60% of GDP, while its current debt level is around 87%. Pakistan’s debt management office manages the country’s debt and ensures it remains within the limit.

In conclusion, the US debt limit is a global outlier regarding political brinkmanship and uncertainty. While other countries have avoided political deadlock over their debt limits through various means, the US has yet to find a sustainable solution. The global community will continue to watch closely as the US grapples with its debt limit and its impact on the global financial system’s stability.

The issue of the US debt limit has become more pressing in recent years due to the significant increase in government spending and borrowing, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. The US government has had to enact several stimulus packages and relief measures to support businesses and individuals during the pandemic, significantly increasing government debt.

The US debt limit has been raised several times in the past decade, with the most recent increase in August 2019. However, the current debt limit of $28.5 trillion was reached in July 2021, and the US government has been operating on extraordinary measures to continue financing its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that it will run out of cash to pay the government’s bills by mid-October if the debt limit is not raised.

The debt limit has become a contentious political issue, with both parties using it as a bargaining chip to advance their policy agendas. The Republican Party has historically been more resistant to raising the debt limit, arguing that it encourages excessive government spending and contributes to the country’s debt burden. The Democratic Party, on the other hand, has been more willing to raise the debt limit to support government programs and policies.

The US government’s failure to raise the debt limit could seriously affect the global financial system. The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency, and central banks and investors widely hold the US Treasury bondsworldwide. A default on US debt obligations could lead to a global financial crisis, with ripple effects on the world economy.

In conclusion, the US debt limit is a significant issue that needs to be addressed by the US government. While other countries have managed to avoid political deadlock over their debt limits, the US has yet to find a sustainable solution. The global community is closely monitoring the situation and hoping for a resolution that will ensure the stability of the global financial system.

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